Armenian political analysts believe that the fact the US House of Foreign Affairs Committee approved the Resolution on the Armenian Genocide, should not be a reason for a big triumph, because this is only the first step (in the long road) taken by the US for the recognition of the Armenian Genocide, and it is not known yet whether it will ever be put to the vote of the US Congress.

“Armenia may have notes of triumph only when Nancy Pelosi puts the resolution to the common vote of the US Congress, and it is approved. We have simply overcome the easiest phase,” says specialist in Turkish studies Artak Shakaryan.

Nevertheless, Shakaryan believes that H.Res.252 was an essential lever for the US to pressure Turkey.

“Turkey understood that the US has serious intentions related to the Armenian-Turkish relations regulation, because their regulation is essentially profitable for the US foreign strategy and policy. Official Ankara’s such obstinate position creates a complicated situation for the US,” Shakaryan says.

Alexander Iskandaryan, political analyst and Director of the Yerevan-based Caucasus Institute, ties the further development of the Armenian-Turkish relations with the future of the Resolution on the Armenian Genocide at the US Congress.

“If after this, Turkey continues banning the ratification of the protocols, what is the US ready to do to make pressure upon Turkey? Only one thing is obvious: the pressure that the US currently makes upon Turkey is still not enough for Turkey to ratify the protocols,” Iskandaryan says, believing that there is a little possibility for Turkey to ratify the protocols before April.

Gagik Harutyunyan, Head of “Noravank” Foundation, thinks that the resolution will provoke Turkey to ratify the protocols as soon as possible. “If Turkey wants to evade the vote of the US Congress plenary session, then it must ratify the protocols,” Harutyunyan says.

Armenian political analysts do not think that H.Res.252 may have an influence on the ratification of the protocols by the Armenian National Assembly. They believe that Armenia must ratify the protocols only after Turkey, so that not to create an impression as if Armenia always makes concessions to Turkey concerning the issue of Armenian-Turkish relations.

Chairman of the Public Council on National Security of Karabakh Masis Mayilyan thinks that the minimum margin in the votes of those who voted in favor of the resolution shows that the United States is not going to burn bridges and sever its relations with Turkey.

As a “peculiarity” of the Thursday vote Mayilyan pointed out weak pressure on Congress from the U.S. Administration, as it was not until the day of the vote that a report came about the State Department’s position to discourage Congress from discussing the resolution.

The expert does not expect a turn in the U.S. position on Karabakh settlement, i.e. he expects official Washington to remain committed to its repeatedly voiced position that the Armenian-Turkish process and the Karabakh settlement are different processes.