Talks on Karabakh war resumption: Special message or casual prediction?
American experts say the Karabakh war might resume.
Twice in the past seven days different American experts made a statement that the Karabakh war might resume which raised local experts’ suspicions that those might be warnings and pressures upon Armenia to make concessions during the negotiations over Nagorno-Karabakh.
On Tuesday Dennis Blair, US Director of National Intelligence, making a speech at the hearings of the Committee on Intelligence of the US Senate, stated that “Although there has been progress in the past year toward Turkey-Armenia rapprochement, this has affected the delicate relationship between Armenia and Azerbaijan, and increases the risk of a renewed conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh.”
Before this statement similar analysis was made by the experts of the US ‘Stratford’ Research Center, who wrote that “it is not excluded that the situation in Nagorno-Karabakh gets out of control of super powers. And currently, the possibility of re-launch of the military actions is not excluded in Armenia, too.”
It is noteworthy that US Deputy Secretary of State James Steinberg will travel to Armenia tomorrow (February 5). He will meet President Serzh Sargsyan and Foreign Minister Eduard Nalbandyan to discuss bilateral and regional issues.
The United States’ special attention towards Armenia and the recent analyses are perceived as warnings in Armenia.
As political expert Stepan Grigoryan told ArmeniaNow, “These are special addresses to push to progresses in the negotiation process.”
Meanwhile, political scientist Yervand Bozoyan, irrespective of the American experts’ analyses, believes that the threat of war re-launch has increased and is real in its intent.
“My reasoning has economic bases: usually wars are launched when one of the sides gets stronger (economically). In this case, when we have registered a huge economic decline and failures in the foreign policy, Azerbaijan’s pretensions increase, hence the threat of war also increases,” Bozoyan told ArmeniaNow.
On Tuesday Dennis Blair, US Director of National Intelligence, making a speech at the hearings of the Committee on Intelligence of the US Senate, stated that “Although there has been progress in the past year toward Turkey-Armenia rapprochement, this has affected the delicate relationship between Armenia and Azerbaijan, and increases the risk of a renewed conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh.”
Before this statement similar analysis was made by the experts of the US ‘Stratford’ Research Center, who wrote that “it is not excluded that the situation in Nagorno-Karabakh gets out of control of super powers. And currently, the possibility of re-launch of the military actions is not excluded in Armenia, too.”
It is noteworthy that US Deputy Secretary of State James Steinberg will travel to Armenia tomorrow (February 5). He will meet President Serzh Sargsyan and Foreign Minister Eduard Nalbandyan to discuss bilateral and regional issues.
The United States’ special attention towards Armenia and the recent analyses are perceived as warnings in Armenia.
As political expert Stepan Grigoryan told ArmeniaNow, “These are special addresses to push to progresses in the negotiation process.”
Meanwhile, political scientist Yervand Bozoyan, irrespective of the American experts’ analyses, believes that the threat of war re-launch has increased and is real in its intent.
“My reasoning has economic bases: usually wars are launched when one of the sides gets stronger (economically). In this case, when we have registered a huge economic decline and failures in the foreign policy, Azerbaijan’s pretensions increase, hence the threat of war also increases,” Bozoyan told ArmeniaNow.