Komandos: Renewal of large-scale hostilities unlikely despite Azerbaijani provocations

Komandos: Renewal of large-scale hostilities unlikely despite Azerbaijani provocations


Despite the efforts of Azerbaijani to increase violence at the border, it is very unlikely that a full-blown war will start, retired Major-General Arkady Ter-Tadevosyan, a hero of the 1992-1994 war in Nagorno-Karabakh, said.

“Azerbaijan cannot make an independent decision to start aggression, Turkey is behind it. And while in Turkey they say they want to reconcile with Armenians, they are doing to us what they want through Azerbaijan, which could not have done that much without Turkey,” said the 76-year-old retired general, referring to the recent escalation of tensions in the Karabakh conflict zone in which several Armenian servicemen and civilians were killed.

According to Ter-Tadevosyan, who is known as Komandos since the Karabakh war in the early 1990s, with its actions Azerbaijan merely wants to provoke Armenia.

“I can’t smell war, but I do smell provocation,” said the experienced military commander. “Azerbaijan wants to show that it can attack and destroy Armenia, but it fails.”

Ter-Tadevosyan also thinks that Azerbaijan is trying to distract public attention from domestic problems.

“They are trying to prove to the public that they are going to regain Karabakh. In reality, however, they cannot do that, but in order to deceive their own people, as well to cause trouble to us they are taking these steps,” he said.

Ter-Tadevosyan also pointed out that Azerbaijan usually escalates the situation ahead of large international forums. Many observers believe that this time it was the United Nations General Assembly session.

In the retired general’s opinion, Azerbaijan will lose in the event of renewed hostilities since its oil and gas pipelines – the main sources of revenues for this country – are vulnerable to Armenian strikes.

“Armenia has no oil and gas pipelines and has fewer reasons to be concerned about possible missile strikes against such facilities. True, Armenia has a nuclear power plant, but the plant is safe in that sense, because if a strike is delivered against the nuke station, it will also cause huge damage to Turkey. That is why Turkey is interested in the soonest possible closure of the station. In other words, they cannot actually hit our nuclear power plant,” Ter-Tadevosyan concluded.