Eye on Kyrgyzstan: Armenia military will not participate as peacekeepers

Nver Torosyan Director of the Armenian Representation of the CSTO Institute said in a press conference on Thursday Armenia is not going to provide military assistance to Kyrgyzstan as a member of Security Council of the Collective Security Treaty Organization.

The question who is going to help Kyrgyzstan which is burning in the ‘fire of interethnic clashes’ for several days, has a geopolitical significance. In 2005, when the ‘Tulip Revolution’ took place in Kyrgyzstan, the West was accused of organizing it. Kurmanbek Bakiyev took the place of deposed ‘post-Soviet’ Oskar Okayev, who almost immediately agreed to lease the Manas International Airport to North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO).

As a result, Kyrgyzstan became the only country where both Russian and American military bases are deployed.

In April 2010, a ‘loopback revolution’ took place in Kyrgyzstan, the provisional government headed by Roza Otunbayeva came to power; and the Kremlin immediately openly supported her. And now, in early June, clashes are registered in the country, which may result in deposition of the provisional government.

The battalion of special mission units is removed to the Russian air base in Kant (northern Kyrgyzstan, some 20 km from the capital of Bishkek). Americans in their turn strengthen Manas.

Moreover, Russia did not reply to the United States’ suggestion to organize joint consultations on the issue of supporting Kyrgyzstan, specifically, these consultations were not made public. Anyway, the Kremlin has not sent troops to Kyrgyzstan yet, and U.S. Assistant Secretary of State Philip Gordon, announced that there would be no joint actions with Russia in Kyrgyzstan.

Gordon stressed that the United States and Russia are acting jointly, however, not according to “the rules of the game with zero results,” when the victory of one side automatically means defeat of the other side.

The United States has already announced it is sending more than $32 million humanitarian aid to Kyrgyzstan.

American analyst Ariel Cohen believes that CSTO has extremely limited capabilities for interference. “Russia’s allies do not have enough efficient forces. But if Russia interferes, the balance of forces in Eurasia will be displaced not in favor of the United States’ (and China’s) interests,” the expert says.

He believes that the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) (the U.S., Canada and 54 states of Europe and Eurasia are its members) is to take the command.

In this respect, the participation of Armenia in the military and peacekeeping actions of CSTO perhaps could affect Armenia’s relations with states in the West.